Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 10.104257 11.820995 13.695394 15.887925 18.375970 21.105245 24.319111
2025-11-16 6.905800 9.152618 11.868630 15.364314 19.711811 24.906194 31.543718
2025-11-23 4.992025 7.335522 10.412829 14.684536 20.385241 27.647234 37.499787
2025-11-30 4.139450 6.620176 10.103115 15.235707 22.469501 32.143897 45.869733
2025-12-07 3.524664 6.078182 9.880479 15.780258 24.489179 36.619309 54.475227
2025-12-14 2.849514 5.295472 9.153780 15.445655 25.150430 39.191636 60.577576
2025-12-21 2.306642 4.608706 8.446103 15.003924 25.539814 41.324175 66.119818
2025-12-28 2.082099 4.418602 8.494439 15.729542 27.739501 46.236081 76.006175
2026-01-04 1.858617 4.184811 8.425859 16.233896 29.602974 50.734344 85.523918
2026-01-11 1.607309 3.847403 8.120351 16.282682 30.698499 54.078333 93.436545
2026-01-18 1.394115 3.543725 7.828184 16.307386 31.730264 57.356531 101.403593
2026-01-25 1.169497 3.168811 7.342112 15.910693 31.975005 59.334007 107.360109
2026-02-01 0.964479 2.807533 6.856984 15.512891 32.281482 61.606256 114.250761
2026-02-08 0.789200 2.477060 6.388055 15.099588 32.544443 63.871781 121.379396
2026-02-15 0.628974 2.139541 5.841361 14.447299 32.276498 65.168560 126.921568
2026-02-22 0.569817 2.059349 5.864855 14.994060 34.380132 70.845494 140.417915
2026-03-01 0.517099 1.983549 5.885039 15.531793 36.505395 76.689717 154.529986
2026-03-08 0.429401 1.775178 5.540341 15.201842 36.817898 79.163092 162.696390
2026-03-15 0.352105 1.573898 5.173832 14.766148 36.854529 81.094144 169.954167
2026-03-22 0.328991 1.551729 5.283428 15.481897 39.421033 88.075414 186.971408
2026-03-29 0.300356 1.500812 5.304120 15.979427 41.545976 94.306607 202.878094
2026-04-05 0.261442 1.397338 5.154734 16.027554 42.666254 98.592187 215.277989
2026-04-12 0.227200 1.299878 5.004371 16.051925 43.729070 102.816048 227.759680